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India’s WTC Final Qualification Scenario If 2nd Test vs Sri Lanka Ends In A Draw



India WTC chances - (Source: AFP)India WTC chances - (Source: AFP)

The ongoing 2nd Test between India and Sri Lanka has reached an exciting stage. After stumps on Day 4, Sri Lanka are 229/6 with a 16-run lead. India require to bowl out the Island Nation quickly on Day 5 and then chase down the target to seal the win and series.

Besides the series win, WTC is an important factor because the Shubman Gill-led side are placed 5th on the table. Now, the issue for India is that there is rain predicted for Day 5 of the 2nd Test, which will make things difficult for the visitors.

Rain Threatens India’s Chances On Day 5 Of 2nd Test

Talking about the weather update for Day 5 of the 2nd Test, there is a 96% chance of rain predicted, which means that India will have to wrap things up really quickly to seal a win. Now, with the rain threat looming over the match, suddenly the possibility of a draw has shoot up.

After stumps on Day 3, India were in a commanding position, but Sri Lanka stunned the visitors in their 2nd innings, which has now put the match on course of a draw. The fans are curious about the WTC standings if the match ends in a draw.

Therefore, this article will shed light on India’s WTC qualification chances in case of no result in the 2nd Test.

India’s WTC qualification Scenario If Case of a drawn game

At present, India are placed 5th on the table with 5 wins,4 defeats and one draw. The Shubman Gill-led side have a 53.33 PCT. Now, in case of a draw, India and Sri Lanka both will be awarded 4 points each. 

India will have 68 points, and converting the points into PCT, then - 

  • PCT= (points obtained/maximum points they could've obtained)× 100
  • So, in this case, (68/132) × 100 = 51.51
Rank
Team
PCT
1Australia80
2South Africa75
3New Zealand72.22
4Bangladesh55.56
5India46.67
6Sri Lanka40.00
7England24.36
8Pakistan22.22
9West Indies20.83

(WTC Current Standings)

India’s PCT will drop further to 51.51. The Shubman Gill-led side will continue to be on the 5th spot, but the gap between India and Bangladesh. The Najmul Shanto-led side are 4th on the table with 55.56 PCT after an impressive Test series against Australia recently.

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Therefore, if the ongoing Test results in a draw, then India’s chances to enter the top 2 of the WTC standings will reduce further.

New Zealand series the best time for India

Following the Sri Lanka series, India will travel to New Zealand for a two-match Test series in late November. It will be a crucial tour because the Blackcaps are 3rd on the table with 72 PCT. Therefore, India need to beat them 2-0 to elevate their PCT and also bring New Zealand’s points down to reduce the gap. 

The real challenge still remains Australia and South Africa, who are the current top-2 ranked teams. Australia are 1st despite a heavy setback against Bangladesh, while the Proteas are 2nd on the table.

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