PAK vs AUS Prediction, 1st ODI- Australia Tour Of Pakistan 2026: Who Will Win Today?

AUS vs PAK Match Prediction ahead of 1st ODI [Source: AFP]

After the T20I series whitewash, Pakistan will host Australia for the three-match ODI series. The first ODI between Australia and Pakistan is scheduled for May 30 at the Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium, with the match starting at 5:00 PM IST.

Australia had a harrowing defeat at the hands of Pakistan in the T20I series as the hosts bagged 3-0. With the upcoming ODI tour, the Kangaroos would like to regroup to save their pride under Josh Inglis.

Meanwhile, Pakistan will look forward to sealing yet another series at home under the leadership of Shaheen Afridi. The team comprises veterans to new faces, namely from Babar Azam to Maaz Sadaqat and is a strong contender for another series win at home.

PAK vs AUS current form (last 5 matches)

PAK vs AUS player battles

Babar Azam vs Adam Zampa

The battle between Babar Azam and Adam Zampa could shape the middle overs heavily. Babar likes to control the innings through timing and placement against spin, but Zampa has often troubled right-handers with his quick leg-breaks and wrong’uns. 

If Zampa manages to break Babar’s rhythm early, Australia can put Pakistan under pressure immediately. However, if Babar settles against spin, he can completely neutralise Australia’s biggest middle-over weapon.

Babar Azam vs Adam Zampa in ODIs: 103 runs; 113 balls; 2 dismissals

Marnus Labuschagne vs Shaheen Afridi

Marnus Labuschagne’s technique will face a massive examination against Shaheen Afridi with the new ball. Shaheen’s ability to swing the ball back into right-handers at pace makes him one of the most dangerous opening bowlers in world cricket. 

Labuschagne prefers spending time at the crease before attacking, but Shaheen’s early movement and aggressive lengths could force him into survival mode during the powerplay overs.

Marnus Labuschagne vs Shaheen Afridi in ODIs: 14 runs; 26 balls; 0 dismissals

Sahibzada Farhan vs Nathan Ellis

Sahibzada Farhan’s attacking approach at the top will collide with Nathan Ellis’ clever variations and change-ups. Farhan likes taking on seamers early, especially through the leg side, but Ellis is known for disrupting aggressive batters with slower balls, cutters, and hard lengths. 

If Farhan wins the powerplay battle, Pakistan can gain quick momentum, but Ellis has the skill set to stop him from dominating freely.

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PAK vs AUS top performers (current squad members)

Most runs for AUS vs PAK

Alex Carey (165), Marnus Labuschagne (118)

Most wickets for AUS vs PAK

Adam Zampa (24), Nathan Ellis (3)

Most runs for PAK vs AUS

Babar Azam (686), Shaheen Afridi (35)

Most wickets for PAK vs AUS

Shaheen Afridi (21), Haris Rauf (18)

PAK vs AUS toss prediction

Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium has traditionally been a high-scoring venue in ODI cricket, with batting becoming easier under lights due to the quick outfield and even bounce. Teams chasing have generally enjoyed better success at the venue, as dew in the second innings often makes it difficult for bowlers to grip the ball properly.

The statistical trend at Rawalpindi also supports chasing teams strongly. Sides fielding first have maintained a better win percentage compared to teams batting first, while the average run rate at the venue remains above five runs per over.

For the AUS vs PAK 1st ODI, the captain winning the toss is likely to bowl first to exploit any early assistance for seamers and later take advantage of the dew factor during the chase.

PAK vs AUS 1st innings score prediction

Powerplay- 92/1

Final Score- 287/6

PAK vs AUS 2nd innings score prediction

Powerplay- 95/1

Final Score- 290/4

PAK vs AUS top players prediction

AUS top players' prediction

Probable best batters

Marnus Labuschagne, Matthew Short

Probable best bowlers

Adam Zampa, Nathan Ellis

PAK top players prediction

Probable best batters

Babar Azam, Sahibzada Farhan

Probable best bowlers

Shaheen Afridi, Haris Rauf

Who will score the most sixes in PAK vs AUS, 1st ODI?

Sahibzada Farhan

Who will score the most fours in PAK vs AUS, 1st ODI?

Babar Azam

PAK vs AUS Match Winner Prediction: Who will win the 1st ODI?

Australia enter the ODI series against Pakistan with a strong historical advantage and far greater consistency in the format. The hosts have dominated this rivalry over the years, winning 71 of the 111 ODIs played between the two teams, while Pakistan have managed only 36 victories.

Although Pakistan possess several match-winners capable of turning games individually, Australia’s superior record, squad balance, and home dominance make them favourites heading into the contest. Considering the conditions and overall momentum, Australia are likely to defeat Pakistan in the first ODI match at home.

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